Weber State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
69  Hailey Whetten JR 19:55
122  Ellie Child JR 20:06
155  Jamie Stokes SR 20:11
315  Paige Dilmore SO 20:37
496  Alice Neville SO 20:54
1,089  MarLee Mitchell FR 21:41
1,131  Lexie Green FR 21:44
1,204  Venla Makarainen FR 21:49
1,335  Kimberly Holiday SO 21:58
National Rank #28 of 339
Mountain Region Rank #5 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 51.5%
Most Likely Finish 24th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 17.6%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 57.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Hailey Whetten Ellie Child Jamie Stokes Paige Dilmore Alice Neville MarLee Mitchell Lexie Green Venla Makarainen Kimberly Holiday
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 608 19:40 20:19 20:11 20:33 20:44 22:27 21:26 21:45
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 700 20:09 20:25 20:09 20:28 21:03 21:26 21:50
Big Sky Championships 10/31 621 20:02 19:48 20:17 20:38 20:58 20:53 21:47 22:15
Mountain Region Championships 11/13 586 19:56 19:49 20:15 20:51 20:29 21:45 22:08
NCAA Championship 11/21 691 19:52 20:11 20:13 20:43 21:25 21:45 22:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 51.5% 22.1 536 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.2 1.8 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.3 2.7 1.7 0.1
Region Championship 100% 5.3 164 0.4 13.7 20.7 22.4 19.4 13.9 7.8 1.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hailey Whetten 77.7% 70.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4
Ellie Child 60.7% 99.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
Jamie Stokes 55.6% 114.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Paige Dilmore 51.5% 182.7
Alice Neville 51.5% 219.2
MarLee Mitchell 51.5% 250.2
Lexie Green 51.5% 250.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hailey Whetten 13.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.1 3.3 4.2 5.6 6.9 6.2 6.9 6.4 6.1 5.7 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.1 3.4 3.4 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.5
Ellie Child 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.4 4.7 4.3 4.4 4.4 3.8 3.4
Jamie Stokes 23.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.4 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.2 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.7 3.7
Paige Dilmore 42.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.8
Alice Neville 57.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
MarLee Mitchell 94.4
Lexie Green 97.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 2
3 13.7% 89.4% 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.5 12.3 3
4 20.7% 73.1% 0.3 0.4 1.1 2.3 2.8 2.2 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.1 5.6 15.1 4
5 22.4% 58.5% 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.1 1.7 1.7 9.3 13.1 5
6 19.4% 44.0% 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.8 10.9 8.6 6
7 13.9% 13.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 12.1 1.8 7
8 7.8% 3.1% 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.5 0.2 8
9 1.4% 1.4 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 51.5% 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.6 3.0 5.3 7.2 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.2 5.8 48.5 0.4 51.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Purdue 53.2% 1.0 0.5
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Villanova 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Kansas 26.0% 1.0 0.3
Yale 19.5% 1.0 0.2
Air Force 10.1% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 2.0 0.2
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
California 5.3% 2.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Washington 0.7% 2.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 11.0